Replying To anotheralias: "A win v monaghan secures us only as long as armagh lose to dublin . If armagh beat dublin and kerry and we beat monaghan and lose to dublin then will likely be relegated on score difference as long as roscommon get a point from last 2. If in addition to the results above if ros fail to beat donegal or mayo then it would be a 4 way tie on 6 points, with roscommon the most likely loser on score difference ( but that depends on the margins of victory/ defeat). Ironically if the dubs beat armagh , not only does a result v monaghan guarantee survival, but even a defeat to monaghan for us could still leave us okay on 4 points if donegal were to beat monaghan in round 7. So ironically a dublin result against armagh is more important ( in terms of liklihood of survival) than our own result v monaghan."
One thing you've ignored here is the possibility that Galway can charge up their points difference with a 10+ point win in Monaghan. Five teams so far have beaten Monaghan by 11 points on average. Galway should be heading up there to secure a win by 10+, to bolster our position in case Armagh secure those wins over Dublin and Kerry in the last 2 rounds.
And its dangerous talking about big wins in clones. I would be very happy with a 1 point win and i would say that PJ would take that now if it was offered