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Kildare are dangerous as they have some high quality footballers and nothing to lose against Galway, but at the end of the day it's div 1 against relegated div 2 Galway should be winning by 5-6 in the end. Jonnytest (Galway) - Posts: 25 - 23/05/2026 12:57:20 2674756 Link 0 |
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Understand your point but i think thats what people mean when they say bookies "think" a team will win by x amount. I guess if you want to be technically correct you need to pull back by 1 point and make a statement , like, in this case, that the bookies/punters market believe it is more likely than not that Galway will win by 7 or more. Personally i think it will be a lot closer and not a foregone conclusion by any means.
anotheralias (Galway) - Posts: 1077 - 23/05/2026 13:02:12 2674758 Link 0 |
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Yes that is technically correct. Handicap is now 7 I see and the odds on scoring Galway 28 Kildare 21. I also expect the game to be a lot closer than that as Galway do tend to make things more difficult for themselves more often than not. Drax_the_destroyer (UK) - Posts: 855 - 23/05/2026 13:57:25 2674761 Link 0 |
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Id say in Weatmeath the viewing figures will be very tight with people divided between their love for nature and their respect for a man. Havent got your opinion on Galway.Why is that.
jobber (Westmeath) - Posts: 1958 - 23/05/2026 16:13:09 2674772 Link 0 |
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Galway didn't make it hard for themselves matter of fact all too easy. FT Galway 3-21 Kildare 0-17. Drax_the_destroyer (UK) - Posts: 855 - 23/05/2026 21:10:30 2674874 Link 0 |
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Looks like the Barry mchugh chat will die down for a week or so now Jonnytest (Galway) - Posts: 25 - 23/05/2026 22:02:25 2674891 Link 0 |
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Or love island nonsense.
Drax_the_destroyer (UK) - Posts: 855 - 23/05/2026 22:22:05 2674895 Link 0 |
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Until the next time we're struggling to land long range frees. Watching Steven Sherlock put on a kicking display from frees and from play, while not exactly racking up the miles or high speed sprints on the GPS, makes me think there's alway room for a forward like that if he's such a good kicker. Sherlock doesn't look like a top athlete like the rest of the Cork team, but he's their best kicker of a ball by a distance. The lads did what was needed this evening, but I have to say Kildare were awful. They brought very little intensity and it was a like a training match at times. Compared to what went on in Killarney and even in Cork earlier, it was played at a much more leisurely pace. We had a lot of sloppy turnovers until little pressure. You'll get punished badly for those against a better team. Whoever we get next will be at a much higher level. Great to see Comer looking very sharp when he came in. Finnerty outstanding. Plenty room for improvement and we'll hopefully continue to see it. WanPintWin (Galway) - Posts: 2821 - 23/05/2026 22:51:18 2674904 Link 1 |
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Turns out 8 wasn't enough, after all the bellyaching about odds and handicaps before the game.
Pope_Benedict (Galway) - Posts: 4735 - 24/05/2026 08:21:46 2674944 Link 0 |
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Got the job done convincingly which is all you can ask for. Thought it was notable that we were trying to kick ball into our inside forwards a lot more than any previous game this year, mixed up the hard running attacks with some nice passages of kicking. LárBáire (Galway) - Posts: 83 - 24/05/2026 08:52:18 2674949 Link 0 |
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It doesn't mean more likely than not, the aim with a handicap is to present two equally likely options on either side. The flip side of the statement would be to say "the bookies expect Kildare to keep it within 7 at most". That statement is also incorrect but it's essentially the same theme as "Galway expected by at least 8" Again, not directed at you personally, lots of people are using the phrase but it's just incorrect PressureKick (UK) - Posts: 371 - 24/05/2026 09:12:33 2674952 Link 0 |
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You are getting a little uptight, bookies and punters expected Galway to win comfortably and that's how it turned out. Any thoughts on the game or where and how far Galway team can go into this championship?
Gaa_lover (USA) - Posts: 3967 - 24/05/2026 12:42:01 2674998 Link 0 |
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Agreed. They were much more committed to the press forcing the long kick out. The organisation on the long kick out was also impressive. One man up one man screening. Better balance to the team. Nice mix of kicking and hard running. Hernon was hugely impressive. I hope he was not injured when he came off? Gleeson showed a range of kicks yesterday that I didn't think he had. Fair play to him. Conor Fla looked like he was injured. Does anyone know? Mayonman (Galway) - Posts: 1957 - 24/05/2026 12:46:26 2674999 Link 0 |
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Think yesterday was one of Gleeson's best kicking performances for Galway. He actually got away a good few of those mid range kicks that he normally struggles with. That said Kildare didn't have much of a press on. Marooned (Galway) - Posts: 2547 - 24/05/2026 13:41:28 2675017 Link 0 |
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Rob Finnerty is Gooch 2.0. This will be said at some point by some lesser known pundit than Scantermediate. Scantermediate69 (Australia) - Posts: 12 - 24/05/2026 13:57:57 2675019 Link 0 |
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Will you please read my post again. I clearly stated that you take one off the handicap . The handicap of, say, 8 means its deemed equally likely hence a margin of 7 or greater is more likely than not. Its basic statistics . The only way that it would still be equally likely at 7 or greater is that if the probability of exactly 7 was zero but thats not the case obviously , hence there is a greater than 50% chance of a 7 point or more gap. And greater than 50% chance is more likely than NOT. Hope this clarifies the point.
anotheralias (Galway) - Posts: 1077 - 24/05/2026 16:35:30 2675064 Link 0 |
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Shane kicked a long range free, against the wind, from well outside the arc for two. And did the same against Roscommon for a 45 and a long range free. What exactly is he doing that you think Barry would do better?
SamandLiamSoon (Galway) - Posts: 630 - 24/05/2026 17:35:25 2675082 Link 0 |
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Give it up. He wasn't wanted for one reason or another, albeit being one of the too forwards in the county. Why is that? Did he turn down a call to go back in again over the years?
jam83 (Galway) - Posts: 234 - 24/05/2026 18:33:51 2675103 Link 0 |
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It's obvious they're doing it for Sean. Seriously, you can't read anything into the performance and imho, all it did was paper over the cracks. With all due respect, Kildare didn't have the quality to ask any serious questions of Galway's defence. They did at times, manage to expose Daly and Silke's lack of pace. And other teams, like Roscommon would be unforgiving. I'm very impressed with Hernon's tackling technique. He has this ability to cleanly sweep the ball from opponent and just as importantly gather the breaking ball. Great to see McGlinchey introduced. Really (Galway) - Posts: 652 - 24/05/2026 18:35:04 2675104 Link 0 |
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Shane is a mighty freetaker when he's fit and in flow. The only player in the country who can kick them from range off both feet. He was outstanding in 2022 on the frees. Unfortunately, he's prone to injury and actually had to stop kicking them off the ground for a while due a persistent issue. You don't think we should be planning for such an eventuality? We lost an All-Ireland in 2024 due to having no backup plan, even though Shane was already carrying an injury that summer. Nobody's talking about replacing him. But having someone who could come on and nail pretty much any free from inside 50m would be some asset to have. WanPintWin (Galway) - Posts: 2821 - 24/05/2026 18:52:12 2675110 Link 1 |